Last year, the commercial replacement tire sector was down significantly. In the U.S., shipments and imports of medium truck and bus tires fell by double digits (22.5% and 27.3%, respectively), according to data from the U.S. Tire Manufacturers Association and Department of Commerce, and production in the U.S. dropped 8% as well.
Canadian shipments were down 25.5%, according to the Tire and Rubber Association of Canada.
"On the replacement side, I think we sort of found bottom the beginning of last year," Cumo said.
Replacement unit sales were down last year compared to the previous two years, which were historically high, but were an improvement over pre-pandemic (2019) numbers.
Last year, as demand settled, capacity increased, and fewer tires were purchased.
"Contrary to what we saw in 2023, which is dealers with a lot of tires from everyone, you are seeing a more controlled approach (in 2024)," he said.
"We are seeing an inflow of low-cost competitors driven by the expectations around antidumping tariffs. … That adds pressure, and that loads up inventories," Cumo said.
He added that the increase of low-cost tires may impact retread sales.
Overall on the commercial side, Michelin expects the numbers to continue to settle this year and return to steady growth — "a more normal" — next year.
"There is a lot more capacity in the market than there is demand," Cumo said. "That is going to take a while for the market to adjust to."
On a positive note, original equipment (OE) saw a bounce back from the manufacturing restraints during COVID.
"We grew in that (OE) space, and we are still trending very strongly," he said, adding that OE manufacturers, such as Daimler, indicate the positive trend will continue.